Economic growth for the emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) of the Europe and Central Asia region is expected to slow significiantly to 2.5% on average in 2025-26 in the face of profound global uncertainty, weaker external demand, and a slowdown in Russia.
Risks are heavily tilted to the downside. Heightened global policy uncertainty, trade fragmentation, increased trade barriers, geopolitical tensions, and financial market volatility dominate. Serious challenges could arise from weaker than-anticipated economic expansions in key trading partners, further adverse shifts in global trade policy, and continued softening of commodity prices. Tight labor markets and potential supply-side shocks could exacerbate inflation, but how these factors will develop remains to be seen.
Learn More: Regional Economic Update Spring 2025
Last Updated: Apr 23, 2025